JustStartHere User Guide

Getting Started

Once you have registered your details and set up monthly PayPal  payments, you can log into your JustStartHere account using your username and password here. Once you’ve signed in, on the "My Account" page you can choose what morning price is used for comparison (9am/10am/11am) and what prices are recorded and displayed on the website. We recommend using 11am for the morning comparison prices.

During the racing, stay on the "Upcoming" page to see the prices in the next race update automatically – you can then monitor who the steamers and drifters are before the off. Once the race has started, the next race will automatically replace it at the top of the page.

The "All Races" page displays all of the day's races and the "Results" page shows who’s won and placed. If you want to download the data for further analysis, click on "Generate CSV" and right-click on the file generated, selecting “Save link as”. To access data from previous days, click on the "CSV History" link at the bottom of the page . The CSV files can be opened and edited in Microsoft Excel. Alternatively you can copy and paste the data into a spreadsheet direct from the results page at the end of the day - this will allow you to keep a record of the colour-coding and the star ratings.

If you want to access data from before you joined, all of the information dating back to the beginning of April 2011 is available to buy in CSV format here.

We upload the Cherry Picks ratings to the site every morning in both PDF and Excel format - they can be accessed by clicking on the "Cherry Picks" tab. If you want to access the historical Cherry Picks ratings, they are available to buy here.

 

Above you can see a screenshot of the JustStartHere upcoming races screen. The prices captured and displayed are the morning price (choice of 9am/10am/11am) and the 60, 30, 15, 5, 3, 2 & 1 minute prices. The prices from 60 minutes onwards are compared against the morning price to produce the "Mov" figures. These are colour-coded to clearly indicate which horses are steamers and which are drifters (please note: a percentage-based calculation is used as this works better for comparison purposes).

The average price movement (Mean) is calculated at 1 minute before the off along with the 321 price movement figure which shows how the price has changed between 3 minutes and 1 minute before post time (the time when most money is put down and therefore the most important time to monitor price fluctuations). Again, these figures are colour-coded according to the size of price and price shift to clearly indicate which horses are steamers and which are drifters.

Viewing these price fluctuations gives you the opportunity to identify potential back, place and lay selections based on weight of money movement. Below we've outlined a number of ways in which the data provided by JustStartHere can be used to create betting systems.

JustStartHere Betting System Ideas

To show how the price movement data can be used,  below we've outlined a number of JustStartHere betting approaches that we've investigated in the past. There is no hard and fast way of using the data - these examples are here to act as an introductory guide to the service and to highlight what kind of things to look out for. After some exposure to the service, you may want to refine or adapt some of the methods outlined here to try and improve their profitability. For instance, you may want to include additional selection filters based on factors such as race type, number of runners, race length, position in betting etc. etc.

However you decide to use the data on JustStartHere, it's worth keeping this advice in mind. If you would like to analyse any of these approaches or have discovered your own system that warrants further investigation, all of the JustStartHere price movement information dating back to the beginning of April 2011 is available to buy in CSV format here.

*** Click here to view the latest JustStartHere betting system ideas ***

1. The JustStartHere Star Ratings System

 

Our star ratings show which horses we think should be backed/dutched etc. based on where the money's going. The stars appear on the upcoming races screen once the 1 minute prices are in. Since introducing it July 2011 there have been a number of notable 5 star winners, including:

27/8/2011 - Between You And Me in the 17:45 at Down Royal (Betfair SP of 134.85):

 

 
29/8/2011 - Backstreet Figher in the 17:40 at Warwick (Betfair SP of 88.16):

31/7/2011 - Venture Lazarus in the 14:20 at Galway (Betfair SP of 84.83):

 

15/7/2011 - Tory Hill Lad in the 19:20 at Kilbeggan (Betfair SP of 53.08). Highlighted below in red is the 321 movement value. This indicates that a lot of money was placed on this outsider during the last few minutes before post time by people in the know. You'll notice that the big priced winners above also have large positive 321 movement values - it really does pay to look out for these unusual betting patterns!

Below you can see a screenshot of one of seven winners that were flagged up by JustStartHere as qualifying selections on March 7th 2011. The figures in the red box show the price movement from 11am to 1 minute before post time (Mov1), the average price movement (Mean), and the price movement from 3 minutes to 1 minute before post time (321) - all are positive:

 

On the 7th of March 2011 this system would have returned a total profit of 24.73 points (based on Betfair 1 minute prices):

3. Backing the highest positive mover in each race with a Mov1 value of 4 or more to win.

 

The Mov1 value compares the morning price with the 1 minute price and is automatically calculated on the JustStartHere upcoming races tab 1 minute before the off. Between the 26th of September and the 16th of October 2011, this approach amassed 110.68 points:

This system essentially consists of backing exceptional positive market movers and perfectly demonstrates how effective following the money on the betting exchanges can be. Obviously other selection filters can be introduced - e.g. avoiding Sundays would have increased the above return by 23 points.

We mentioned this approach in one of our Cherry Picks emails and one JustStartHere customer got in contact to let us know that he used the method to pick the winner in the 13:30 at Redcar on Friday the 14th of October 2011:

Here's a screenshot of the winning horse on JustStartHere:

 

4. Laying the horse with the highest negative Mov1, Mean and 321 values in each race. The Mov1, Mean and 321 values must all be negative and the odds must be decimal 10 or less.

 

Below you can see a screenshot of one of five losers that were flagged up by JustStartHere as qualifying selections on Tuesday 8th March 2011. The figures in the red box show the price movement from 11am to 1 minute before post time (Mov1), the average price movement (Mean), and the price movement from 3 minutes to 1 minute before post time (321) - all are negative:

*

 

On the 8th of March 2011 this system would have returned a total profit of 3.5 points (based on Betfair 1 minute prices):

5. Backing the highest positive 321 mover in each race to place.

The 321 figure compares the 3 minute price with the 1 minute price andis automatically calculated on the JustStartHere upcoming races tab 1 minute before the off. The last few minutes leading up to post time is the most important time to monitor the market movers as it's when the vast majority of money is put down.

On the 12th of October 2011 the approach would have returned a huge profit of 36.3 points. There were 9 winning selections including For Life in the 15:00 at Lingfield (Betfair place SP of 11.03) and Bad Cigar in the 14:15 at Punchestown (Betfair place SP of 8.16). The 321 values are outlined in red on the JustStartHere screenshots below:

 

 

6. Spotting Unusual Betting Patterns

Below we've highlighted unusually large price shifts during the last 3 minutes leading up to post-time for 2 big priced horses:

 

We decided to back both of them to place and got odds of 8.6 for Film Festival and 11.5 for Askthemaster. The latter duly finished 2nd and netted us a tidy profit:

 

23/11/2011 - The price of Hurricane In Dubai halved between 3 minutes and 1 minute before post time - from 240 into 120. It recorded the highest 321 value in the race (outlined in red), and duly went on to place with a huge Betfair place SP of 25.22:

 

27/11/2011 - Crackerjac Boywon the 15:30 at Carlisle after steaming in from a 3 minute price of 46 to a 1 minute price of 34. It recorded the highest 321 value in the race (outlined in red below):

27/11/2011 - Nowurhurlin went from a 3 minute price of 28 into a 1 minute price of 20 before winning the 13:55 at Carlisle. Again, it recorded the highest 321 value in the race:

 

28/11/2011 - Novabridge steamed in from a 3 minute price of 130 to a 1 minute price of 70 before placing in the 15:20 at Wolverhampton with a Betfair place SP of 14. It recorded a huge 321 value of 4.61 (outlined in red on the screenshot below):

 

We used Betfair Multiples to place an each-way bet:

*** Click here to view the latest JustStartHere betting system ideas ***

Subscription

Subscription to JustStartHere costs just £6 per month - that works out at under 20p per day. Please note that you will need a PayPal account in order to subscribe to the service. This gives you the flexibility to cancel or reactivate your subscription at any time direct from your PayPal account - there is no long-term commitment.

To sign up, please click on the button below.  You will be directed to a registration page that will ask for your email address, a username and password. Once you have completed these details you will be directed to PayPal in order to complete your payment. If you don't have a PayPal account or would rather pay via a different method, please contact us (info@juststarthere.com).