Seven Cherry Picks
Ratings Betting System Ideas
We often receive emails asking how best to use
the information provided by the JustStartHere
service. On Saturday 10 October 2015 we looked at seven different aproaches that you
can set and forget
from 11.00am.
All seven level stakes systems turned a profit and made a
combined return of +272.31
points after Betfair commission. The full results can be viewed
here. The selections were made using the
11.00am prices but all the returns are based on Betfair starting prices.
Please note that not all UK and IRE races qualified - only those
that were fully rated (i.e. where every horse had a Cherry Picks rating). The fully rated races are those listed on the
daily Cherry Picks PDFs and spreadsheets.
As with all
systems, they can be adapted to individual betting preferences. Some might suit further
filtering, a sensible staking plan or a stop-at-profit approach for example. Similar
principles and ideas can also be applied to the price movement data.
It goes without saying that you should paper-trade systems until you are comfortable with them and
then only bet with money that you can afford to lose, perhaps making use of a suitable betting
bank.
It's also
good practice to have a portfolio of systems that compliment each
other. No system
will make a profit every day, so it makes sense to try and balance out or reduce losses
incurred from one approach with profit from others.
Of course,
there is no guarantee that these systems will continue to be successful in the long term but
we hope they provide some inspiration.
System 1
For this approach, you back as many of the highly rated
horses in each race as possible, starting with the top-rated one and working your way
down to the point that, should the horse with the lowest odds that you've backed
win, you would at least break even (or make a small loss after
commission).
So, if the horse with the lowest odds in the top
five has a back price of 5.00 at 11.00am, you back the the top five horses to win. In
situations where backing a low priced horse means you would make a loss, you back horses
up to, but not including, that horse. Below are two examples (qualifying selections highlighted
in green):
Horse
Horse
A
Horse
B
Horse
C
Horse D
Horse E
Horse F Horse G
Horse H |
CP
Rating
100
75
50
25
0
-25
-75
-100
|
Odds
3.00
15.00
9.00
4.00
16.00
7.00
25.00
50.00
|
|
Horse
Horse
A
Horse
B Horse C
Horse D
Horse E
Horse F Horse G
Horse H |
CP
Rating
100
75
50
25
0
-25
-75
-100
|
Odds
12.00
15.00
2.00
6.00
4.00
7.00
25.00
50.00
|
This system allows you to capitalise on high priced winners with high Cherry Picks
ratings.
System 2
This system has the same qualifying criteria as System 1 but
instead of backing all horses to win, you back the horses with odds of 10.00 or more at 11.00am
to place.
System 3
For this system you simply back each of the top three rated
horses to win.
Horse
Horse
A
Horse
B
Horse
C
Horse D
Horse E
Horse F Horse G
Horse H |
CP
Rating
100
75
50
25
0
-25
-75
-100
|
Odds
3.00
15.00
9.00
4.00
16.00
7.00
25.00
50.00
|
System 4
This system involves backing all horses with positive or
zero Cherry Picks ratings and
11.00am odds of 10.00 or more to win.
Horse
Horse
A Horse B
Horse C Horse D
Horse
E
Horse F Horse G
Horse H |
CP
Rating
100
75
50
25
0
-25
-75
-100
|
Odds
3.00
15.00
9.00
4.00
16.00
7.00
25.00
50.00
|
System
5
This system has the same qualifying
criteria as System 4 but instead of backing the horses to win, you back them to
place.
System 6
This system involves backing horses with at least one
Newspaper (NP) Tip and 11.00am odds of 10.00 or more to win.
Horse
Horse
A Horse B Horse C Horse D
Horse E Horse
F Horse G
Horse H |
NP
Tips
7
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
|
Odds
3.00
15.00
9.00
4.00
16.00
7.00
25.00
50.00
|
System
7
This
system has the same qualifying criteria as System 6 but instead of backing the horses to
win, you back them to place.
If you look
into a system and it doesn't work out, don't lose faith - a slight tweak here or there could
make all the difference.
With a bit
of patience and perseverance, we're confident that JustStartHere can be a significant weapon in you
betting armoury.
|